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2026 Season
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Colorado Rockies

COL • 2026 Season Prediction

HOLD

2026 Outlook

🔴 Rebuilder 0% playoff probability

The Colorado Rockies find themselves in rebuilding mode heading into the 2026 season, with a projected win total of just 52 and a negligible playoff probability. Despite the grim outlook, there are a few bright spots on the roster that provide hope for the future.

Outfielder Hunter Goodman has emerged as the team's offensive centerpiece, poised to build on his impressive 31-homer campaign in 2025. Similarly, the versatile Mickey Moniak looks to build on his 24-home run season and solidify his status as a reliable power hitter. On the mound, veterans like Jimmy Herget and Brennan Bernardino will anchor a pitching staff that will rely heavily on the development of younger arms like Jose Quintana.

While the Rockies may not be playoff contenders this season, their focus should be on player development and laying the groundwork for a more competitive future. With a combination of young talent and veteran leadership, the team can use 2026 as an opportunity to evaluate their long-term core and make strategic decisions to position themselves for a potential return to postseason contention in the years to come.

Strengths

Development Future

Weaknesses

Talent gap Rebuild

⚾ Kalshi Markets

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Will Colorado win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?

KXMLB-26-COL

HOLD

Market Price

Model Prob

0.0%

Edge

-1.0%

Bid/Ask

0¢/1¢

Will Colorado be the 2026 NL West Division Winner

KXMLBNLWEST-26-COL

HOLD

Market Price

Model Prob

0.0%

Edge

-1.0%

Bid/Ask

0¢/1¢

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-COL

FADE

Market Price

Model Prob

0.0%

Edge

-3.0%

Bid/Ask

2¢/4¢

Will Colorado win at least 65 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-COL-26-T65

STRONG FADE

Market Price

40¢

Model Prob

7.2%

Edge

-33.2%

Bid/Ask

29¢/52¢

Will Colorado win at least 55 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-COL-26-T55

STRONG FADE

Market Price

69¢

Model Prob

37.2%

Edge

-31.8%

Bid/Ask

64¢/74¢

Will Colorado win at least 60 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-COL-26-T60

STRONG FADE

Market Price

46¢

Model Prob

18.6%

Edge

-27.4%

Bid/Ask

44¢/48¢

Will Colorado win at least 35 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-COL-26-T35

STRONG BUY

Market Price

83¢

Model Prob

97.3%

Edge

+14.3%

Bid/Ask

83¢/100¢

Will Colorado win at least 50 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-COL-26-T50

STRONG FADE

Market Price

70¢

Model Prob

59.4%

Edge

-10.6%

Bid/Ask

70¢/100¢

Will Colorado win at least 40 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-COL-26-T40

STRONG BUY

Market Price

82¢

Model Prob

91.4%

Edge

+9.4%

Bid/Ask

82¢/100¢

Will Colorado win at least 45 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-COL-26-T45

STRONG FADE

Market Price

88¢

Model Prob

78.9%

Edge

-8.6%

Bid/Ask

78¢/97¢

Predicted Wins

52

±3.8 standard deviation

Range: 50–62 wins (95% CI)

Kalshi Market Line

N/A

No market available

Edge vs Market

No edge calculation

Model Confidence

62%

Based on feature quality, historical accuracy, and prediction uncertainty

Prediction Distribution